Thursday, March 13, 2008

Status Change: Search And Retrieve

Analysis of blood on clothing items found in certain crates has confirmed that they were a match for missing CIA operatives Cameron Candeloro and Patty Ostler. But no bodies have been found.

Percentage calculation of operatives being dead at this point: 75 percent.

Percentage calculation of operatives having been saved: 35 percent. If they were saved, why were the weapons left intact?

Percentage calculation of one of the operative being alive: 50 percent. Calculated from report from the operative at Deputy Director Harden's department that only the female operative was shot (see Nikki Harden's debriefing and report).

Percentage calculation of operatives being held hostage: 30 percent. Again, none of the weapons at the scene was taken.

Percentage of outside interference that has zero relation with any operations details: 40 percent. Factors considered by COMCEN: mountainous terrain, traveling refugees, passing farmers, mercenaries, friendly soldiers. Again, the overview of the site, with the cache untouched, with no signs of struggle (except re: Hawk McMillan's debriefing and report) and no other clues or messages downgrade the chances of survival.

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